Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or Luka Doncic: who to draft in 2026-27 fantasy basketball

Net Prophet ranks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2nd and Luka Doncic 4th for the 2026-27 season, 2 picks apart. A category counts as won only when the projected gap clears 0.25 standard deviations of that category across the 177 ranked players this comparison is drawn from.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins 4 of the nine categories, Luka Doncic wins 4, and 1 is too close to call.

Our board separates them by 2 picks; consensus ADP separates them by 3 picks, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander going earlier in the room.
Luka Doncic leads in REB, 4.4 to 7.4 per game as the board projects them.
Both are eligible at PG, so this is a straight swap for the same roster slot.
The board grades both "moderate" for availability.
Both rank inside the 177 players this comparison set is drawn from.

Draft position

Where each is ranked and where the room is taking them (2026-27).
Measure	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Luka Doncic
Net Prophet rank	#2	#4
Consensus ADP	#2	#5

Category by category

Projected per game for 2026-27, nine-category scoring. Turnovers count fewest-first.
Category	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Luka Doncic	Edge
PTS	32.0	32.3	too close to call
REB	4.4	7.4	Luka Doncic wins
AST	6.3	7.3	Luka Doncic wins
STL	1.5	1.6	Luka Doncic wins
BLK	0.8	0.5	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins
3PM	1.7	3.4	Luka Doncic wins
TO	2.3	3.5	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins
FG%	54.3%	47.1%	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins
FT%	88.8%	79.8%	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins

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