Trey Murphy III or Chet Holmgren: who to draft in 2026-27 fantasy basketball

Net Prophet ranks Trey Murphy III 16th and Chet Holmgren 20th for the 2026-27 season, 4 picks apart. A category counts as won only when the projected gap clears 0.25 standard deviations of that category across the 177 ranked players this comparison is drawn from.

Trey Murphy III wins 5 of the nine categories, Chet Holmgren wins 4.

Our board separates them by 4 picks; consensus ADP separates them by 20 picks, with Chet Holmgren going earlier in the room.
Trey Murphy III leads in PTS, 21.8 to 17.1 per game as the board projects them.
They do not fill the same slot: Trey Murphy III is SG/SF, Chet Holmgren is C/PF.
The board grades both "moderate" for availability.
Both rank inside the 177 players this comparison set is drawn from.

Draft position

Where each is ranked and where the room is taking them (2026-27).
Measure	Trey Murphy III	Chet Holmgren
Net Prophet rank	#16	#20
Consensus ADP	#51	#31

Category by category

Projected per game for 2026-27, nine-category scoring. Turnovers count fewest-first.
Category	Trey Murphy III	Chet Holmgren	Edge
PTS	21.8	17.1	Trey Murphy III wins
REB	5.6	8.7	Chet Holmgren wins
AST	4.1	2.0	Trey Murphy III wins
STL	1.3	0.7	Trey Murphy III wins
BLK	0.4	1.6	Chet Holmgren wins
3PM	3.3	1.5	Trey Murphy III wins
TO	1.9	1.5	Chet Holmgren wins
FG%	46.3%	53.3%	Chet Holmgren wins
FT%	89.0%	77.8%	Trey Murphy III wins

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